COVID-19

[Zed Head]

Chicago is going all remote in their school system.  Of course this means that the poorer families will be disadvantaged.

https://www.cnn.com/2020/08/05/us/chicago-schools-virtual-coronavirus/index.html

[Zed Head]

This might be the super spreader event of the whole pandemic.  All a person can really do on the big scale is watch and hope.

https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/510470-south-dakota-expecting-250000-people-for-sturgis-motorcycle-rally

Edited August 5, 2020 by Zed Head
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[Zed Head]

Back to school.

https://www.ajc.com/education/9-cases-of-covid-19-reported-at-north-paulding-high-school/OWH6MN7DZ5A2XDQMXX337AQEWI/

[Zed Head]

For anyone with school age kids, here is an alternative source of information.  It was put together by Rebekah Jones, Florida's COVID-19 database manager, who was fired for refusing to alter the data.

https://floridacovidaction.com/schools/

[Zed Head]

College Greek life...how could they be so irresponsible?!  Completely unexpected!  Who could have foreseen this?  (Irony).

https://apnews.com/66745a09e003a27b6c13e4578636d300

Same topic.  They tried to get past the cancellation deadline but didn't make it.  Lock that money in.  Also learned a new word - "de-densification".  It is incumbent on all of to de-densify until the virus is controlled.

https://indyweek.com/news/orange/unc-chapel-hill-calls-off-in-person-classes/

https://www.unc.edu/posts/2020/08/17/shift-to-remote-cm/?utm_campaign=081720+Message+from+University+leaders+on+changes+in+the+Fall+2020+Roadmap&utm_medium=bitly&utm_source=Twitter

"Given the number of positive cases, we are making two important changes to de-densify our campus."

 

Edited August 18, 2020 by Zed Head

[Zed Head]

One-Eyed Jacks, Sturgis, Noon to 5:30 pm.  You might have been exposed.

https://news.sd.gov/newsitem.aspx?id=27179

Potential COVID-19 Exposure in Sturgis, SD

 

PIERRE, S.D. – State Health officials announced Tuesday, August 18, that a patron of the One-Eyed Jack’s Saloon at 1304 Main St. in Sturgis, SD has tested positive for COVID-19.

The individual visited the business while able to transmit the virus to others on these dates and times:

• August 11, from 12:00 p.m. - 5:30 p.m.

 

Due to the risk of exposure, individuals that visited the business during the specified dates and times should monitor for symptoms for 14 days after they visited.

 

[Pilgrim]

My guess is that it's just one of many exposures there.

[AZDatsun]

Some good news maybe the reporting will be accurate again

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.wsj.com/amp/articles/troubled-covid-19-data-system-returning-to-cdc-11597945770


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[Zed Head]

Technology is starting to catch up with the reality of the new world we'll have for a while.  Soon we'll have warning apps for our phones to tell us when we're getting close to a hotspots.  Run!  Of course the app will need access to photos, contacts, and all data on your phone.

https://uasystem.edu/covid-19-dashboard?0

https://www.yahoo.com/huffpost/university-of-alabama-coronavirus-140343391.html

 

[motorman7]

34 minutes ago, Zed Head said:

Technology is starting to catch up with the reality of the new world we'll have for a while.  Soon we'll have warning apps for our phones to tell us when we're getting close to a hotspots.  Run!  Of course the app will need access to photos, contacts, and all data on your phone.

https://uasystem.edu/covid-19-dashboard?0

https://www.yahoo.com/huffpost/university-of-alabama-coronavirus-140343391.html

 

Would be interesting to know how many of those were: asymptomatic, hospitalized or ICU.   The fact that they don't mention any hospitalization makes me think it is not very many. 

In San Diego County we get daily infections, hospitalizations, ICU status and deaths. San Diego had a 0 death day yesterday.

[Zed Head]

I think a big concern will be that people downplay the severity of the college outbreaks because the younger population doesn't get as sick, and not as many die.  Overlooking, either purposefully or just ignorantly, that it's the transfer to at-risk people that is the real issue.  These college kids are virus vectors, disease carriers, agents of the grim reaper.  They're just young kids though, they don't really know.

It's the older educated people that have to keep their minds open to what is really going on.  It also seems like the lower testing numbers are skewing the view of the severity, showing a lower case count.  But deaths are up by a lot.  We've been at 1,000 dead per day average for quite a while.  Real people, real families, real death.  And it's still summer when the virus is supposed to be muted.

Edited August 25, 2020 by Zed Head
left out a ful

[motorman7]

I spent a little time on the worldometer site ( https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries )  yesterday looking at the data.  There is a ton of information there.  From the the data, here are a few of my observations.

This is the world data.  Here are my thoughts on the world data.

1)  It looks like we peaked around August 8, give or take a few days, for the daily new cases.  The daily death rate has not risen in unison but is very roughly around 5k per day and somewhat flat by comparison. In that same April to August time frame, daily new case rate tripled.  I think the reason for this is because of: increased testing availability (thus more tests), improvements in treating the disease (remidisiver?), and the most virulent forms of the virus dying out-They kill their hosts. 

2) The big ramp starting in May is when Brazil, India and Mexico joined in on the party (Major population centers). Brazil, Mexico and US are beyond their peaks and ramping down.  India looks like they have not peaked yet and they have a heck of a lot of people. 

3) China is a non-reporter and has no bearing on these charts.  However, in reality, they are a pretty scary unknown since they have the worlds largest population.  Also, I think Mexico and India may be underreporting due to some of the more impoverished areas not reporting or providing accurate data (Just guessing on that one)

4) Europe is pretty much past this all with very few deaths coming from England, Spain. France and Italy.  My guess would be the few that they have are the elderly.

5) Currently, the overall trend looks to be going down for both daily new cases and daily deaths which is somewhat encouraging.  Both charts should continue to show a long slow downward ramp.  There may be a few bumps in the downward trend, but I doubt that any of them exceeds the current peaks.